Prosecution Insights
Last updated: April 18, 2026
Application No. 18/183,248

Multivariate Skill Demand Forecasting System

Non-Final OA §101
Filed
Mar 14, 2023
Examiner
KOESTER, MICHAEL RICHARD
Art Unit
3624
Tech Center
3600 — Transportation & Electronic Commerce
Assignee
International Business Machines Corporation
OA Round
3 (Non-Final)
40%
Grant Probability
Moderate
3-4
OA Rounds
3y 6m
To Grant
67%
With Interview

Examiner Intelligence

Grants 40% of resolved cases
40%
Career Allow Rate
73 granted / 181 resolved
-11.7% vs TC avg
Strong +26% interview lift
Without
With
+26.4%
Interview Lift
resolved cases with interview
Typical timeline
3y 6m
Avg Prosecution
32 currently pending
Career history
213
Total Applications
across all art units

Statute-Specific Performance

§101
39.8%
-0.2% vs TC avg
§103
42.8%
+2.8% vs TC avg
§102
8.0%
-32.0% vs TC avg
§112
9.5%
-30.5% vs TC avg
Black line = Tech Center average estimate • Based on career data from 181 resolved cases

Office Action

§101
DETAILED ACTION Notice of Pre-AIA or AIA Status The present application, filed on or after March 16, 2013, is being examined under the first inventor to file provisions of the AIA . Introduction The following is a non-final Office action in response to Applicant’s RCE submission filed on 2/11/2026. Currently claims 1-20 are pending and claims 1, 9, and 17 are independent. Claims 1, 2, 9, 10, 17, 18 have been amended from the previous claim set dated 9/30/2025. No claims have been added or cancelled. Continued Examination Under 37 CFR 1.114 A request for continued examination under 37 CFR 1.114, including the fee set forth in 37 CFR 1.17(e), was filed in this application after final rejection. Since this application is eligible for continued examination under 37 CFR 1.114, and the fee set forth in 37 CFR 1.17(e) has been timely paid, the finality of the previous Office action has been withdrawn pursuant to 37 CFR 1.114. Applicant's submission filed on 2/11/2026 has been entered. Response to Amendments Applicant’s amendments are acknowledged and necessitated the new grounds of rejection in this Office Action. Claim Rejections - 35 USC § 101 35 U.S.C. 101 reads as follows: Whoever invents or discovers any new and useful process, machine, manufacture, or composition of matter, or any new and useful improvement thereof, may obtain a patent therefor, subject to the conditions and requirements of this title. Claims 1-20 are rejected under 35 U.S.C. 101 because the claimed invention is directed to a judicial exception (i.e., a law of nature, a natural phenomenon, or an abstract idea), specifically an abstract idea, without significantly more. With respect to claims 1-20, following the guidance set forth in MPEP 2106, the inquiry for patent eligibility follows two steps: Step 1: Does the claimed invention fall within one of the four statutory categories of invention? Step 2A (Prong 1): Is the claim “directed to” an abstract idea? Step 2A (Prong 2): Is the claim integrated into a practical application? Step 2B: Does the claim recite additional elements that amount to “significantly more” than the abstract idea? In accordance with these steps, the Examiner finds the following: Step 1: Claim 1 and its dependent claims (claims 2-8) are directed to a statutory category, namely a method. Claim 9 and its dependent claims (claims 10-16) are directed to a statutory category, namely a system/machine. Claim 17 and its dependent claims (claims 18-20) are directed to a statutory category, namely an article of manufacture. Step 2A (Prong 1): Claims 1, 9, and 17, which are substantially similar claims to one another, are directed to the abstract idea of “Mental processes”, or more particularly, “Concepts performed in the human mind (including an observation, evaluation, judgment, opinion) (See MPEP 2106).” In this application that refers to using a computer system to evaluate and predict the future skillsets needed for an organization. To clarify this further, the Applicant’s disclosed invention is a conceptual system meant to perform the same function that an HR manager might perform for a large business. The abstract elements of claims 1, 9, and 17, recite in part “Determine skill share…Create time series…Extract embeddings…Transform embeddings…Correlate distance…Cluster skills…Define dataset…Train model…Receive user input…Assign cluster…Predict change in demand…”. Dependent claims 2-8, 10-16, 18-20 add to the abstract idea the following limitations which recite in part “Predict skill share…Determine skill score…Adjust neural network…Receive inputs…Structure data…Extract data…Create table…Skill share is…Determine skill score…Current demand is determined…Demand change is determined…”. All of these additional limitations, however, only serve to further limit the abstract idea, and hence are nonetheless directed towards fundamentally the same abstract idea as independent claims 1, 9, and 17. Step 2A (Prong 2): Independent claims 1, 9, and 17, which are substantially similar claims to one another, do not contain additional elements, either considered individually or in combination, that effectively integrate the exception into a practical application of the exception. These claims do include the limitation that recites in part “Processor units…Program instructions…Prediction model…Computer program product…Computer readable storage medium…Computer system…User interface…Server…Cloud…memory…wearable device…” which limits the claims to a networked/computer based environment, but this is insufficient with respect to integration into a practical application because it is merely applying the abstract idea to a general computer (See MPEP 2106.05(f)). Additionally, dependent claims 2-8, 10-16, 18-20 do not include any additional elements to conduct a further Step 2A (Prong 2) analysis. Step 2B: Independent claims 1, 9, and 17, which are substantially similar claims to one another, include additional elements, when considered both individually and as an ordered combination, which are insufficient to amount to significantly more than the judicial exception. The additional elements of these claims recite in part “Processor units…Program instructions…Prediction model…Computer program product…Computer readable storage medium…Computer system…User interface…Server…Cloud…memory…wearable device…”. These items are not significantly more because these are merely the software and/or hardware components used to implement the abstract idea (evaluate and predict the future skillsets needed for an organization) on a general purpose computer (See MPEP 2106.05(f)). This is exemplified in the Applicant’s specification in [0107] – “For example, processor unit 1104 can be selected from at least one of a multicore processor, a central processing unit (CPU), a graphics processing unit (GPU), a physics processing unit (PPU), a digital signal processor (DSP), a network processor, or some other suitable type of processor.” Additionally, dependent claims 2-8, 10-16, 18-20 do not include any additional elements to conduct a further 2B analysis. Accordingly, whether taken individually or as an ordered combination claims 1-20 are rejected under 35 USC § 101 because the claimed invention is directed to a judicial exception, an abstract idea, without significantly more. Response to Arguments Applicant's arguments filed 2/11/2026 have been fully considered but they are not persuasive and/or are moot in light of the new rejections addressed above. Regarding the arguments related to the 35 USC § 101 rejections, as addressed above according to the USPTO guidance contained within MPEP 2106 for 35 USC § 101 rejections, the Examiner maintains that the claimed invention is an abstract idea, without significantly more, and not integrated into a practical application. Applicant argues that the amended claims overcome the 101 rejection, however, Examiner finds this unpersuasive. Specifically, the amended limitations and additional elements are claimed at a high level of generality and Examiner still interprets the abstract idea as simply being facilitated through the use of a general purpose computer (See MPEP 2106.05(f)). Applicant highlights Example 47, claims 1 and 3, as being analogous to the current claims and are therefore patent eligible. Examiner does not find this persuasive because Examiner interprets the current claims as being more akin to Example 47 claim 2, which is not patent eligible. Specifically, claims 1 and 3 used the analyzed data to perform some functionality within the system. Claim 2 is merely retraining the model. Within the current claims, Examiner interprets the claims as merely including some retraining, and not performing some functionality within the system (e.g. blocking a packet from being transmitted). Conclusion Any inquiry concerning this communication or earlier communications from the examiner should be directed to Michael R Koester whose telephone number is (313)446-4837. The examiner can normally be reached Monday thru Friday 8:00AM-5:00 PM EST. Examiner interviews are available via telephone, in-person, and video conferencing using a USPTO supplied web-based collaboration tool. To schedule an interview, applicant is encouraged to use the USPTO Automated Interview Request (AIR) at http://www.uspto.gov/interviewpractice. If attempts to reach the examiner by telephone are unsuccessful, the examiner’s supervisor, Jerry O'Connor can be reached at (571) 272-6787. The fax phone number for the organization where this application or proceeding is assigned is 571-273-8300. Information regarding the status of published or unpublished applications may be obtained from Patent Center. Unpublished application information in Patent Center is available to registered users. To file and manage patent submissions in Patent Center, visit: https://patentcenter.uspto.gov. Visit https://www.uspto.gov/patents/apply/patent-center for more information about Patent Center and https://www.uspto.gov/patents/docx for information about filing in DOCX format. For additional questions, contact the Electronic Business Center (EBC) at 866-217-9197 (toll-free). If you would like assistance from a USPTO Customer Service Representative, call 800-786-9199 (IN USA OR CANADA) or 571-272-1000. /MICHAEL R KOESTER/Examiner, Art Unit 3624 /Jerry O'Connor/Supervisory Patent Examiner,Group Art Unit 3624
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Prosecution Timeline

Mar 14, 2023
Application Filed
Jul 12, 2025
Non-Final Rejection — §101
Sep 29, 2025
Examiner Interview Summary
Sep 29, 2025
Applicant Interview (Telephonic)
Sep 30, 2025
Response Filed
Dec 08, 2025
Final Rejection — §101
Jan 12, 2026
Applicant Interview (Telephonic)
Jan 12, 2026
Examiner Interview Summary
Jan 16, 2026
Response after Non-Final Action
Feb 11, 2026
Request for Continued Examination
Mar 02, 2026
Response after Non-Final Action
Mar 31, 2026
Non-Final Rejection — §101
Apr 14, 2026
Examiner Interview Summary
Apr 14, 2026
Applicant Interview (Telephonic)

Precedent Cases

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CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE PERCEPTION BASED ON FEDERATED LEARNING
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Patent 12585262
ENCODED HIERARCHY REPRESENTATION AND METHOD OF GENERATING SAME
2y 5m to grant Granted Mar 24, 2026
Patent 12572823
MEASURING IMPACT OF EVENTS ON AFFINITY CLUSTER USING PROPENSITY DIMENSIONS
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Patent 12547912
DEVICE OF PREDICTING, MEDIUM OF PREDICTING, AND METHOD OF PREDICTING PRODUCTION INDEX USING MOVING OBJECT STAY NUMBER
2y 5m to grant Granted Feb 10, 2026
Study what changed to get past this examiner. Based on 5 most recent grants.

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Prosecution Projections

3-4
Expected OA Rounds
40%
Grant Probability
67%
With Interview (+26.4%)
3y 6m
Median Time to Grant
High
PTA Risk
Based on 181 resolved cases by this examiner. Grant probability derived from career allow rate.

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