Prosecution Insights
Last updated: April 19, 2026
Application No. 18/230,392

SUBSTITUTED POLYCYCLIC CARBAMOYL PYRIDONE DERIVATIVE PRODRUG

Final Rejection
Filed
Aug 04, 2023
Examiner
MCDOWELL, BRIAN E
Art Unit
1624
Tech Center
1600 — Biotechnology & Organic Chemistry
Assignee
Shionogi & Co. Ltd.
OA Round
2 (Final)
74%
Grant Probability
Favorable
3-4
OA Rounds
2y 4m
To Grant
99%
With Interview

Examiner Intelligence

Grants 74% — above average
74%
Career Allow Rate
818 granted / 1102 resolved
+14.2% vs TC avg
Strong +30% interview lift
Without
With
+30.3%
Interview Lift
resolved cases with interview
Typical timeline
2y 4m
Avg Prosecution
58 currently pending
Career history
1160
Total Applications
across all art units

Statute-Specific Performance

§101
1.0%
-39.0% vs TC avg
§103
15.0%
-25.0% vs TC avg
§102
19.5%
-20.5% vs TC avg
§112
47.6%
+7.6% vs TC avg
Black line = Tech Center average estimate • Based on career data from 1102 resolved cases

Prosecution Timeline

Aug 04, 2023
Application Filed
Mar 18, 2025
Non-Final Rejection
Sep 19, 2025
Response Filed
Nov 17, 2025
Final Rejection (current)

Precedent Cases

Applications granted by this same examiner with similar technology

Patent 12599615
USE OF CAROTENOIDS IN THE TREATMENT OF SENESCENCE-RELATED DISEASES
2y 5m to grant Granted Apr 14, 2026
Patent 12604600
Organic Electroluminescent Element And Novel Iridium Complex
2y 5m to grant Granted Apr 14, 2026
Patent 12559494
NOVEL FUNCTIONALIZED LACTAMS AS MODULATORS OF THE 5-HYDROXYTRYPTAMINE RECEPTOR 7 AND THEIR METHOD OF USE
2y 5m to grant Granted Feb 24, 2026
Patent 12552807
PCSK9 INHIBITORS AND METHODS OF USE THEREOF
2y 5m to grant Granted Feb 17, 2026
Patent 12545665
CRYSTAL FORM OF 6-(CYCLOPROPANECARBOXAMIDO)-4-((2-METHOXY-3-(1-METHYL-1H-1,2,4-TRIAZOL-3-YL)PHENYL)AMINO)-N-(METHYL-D3) PYRIDAZINE-3-CARBOXAMIDE
2y 5m to grant Granted Feb 10, 2026
Study what changed to get past this examiner. Based on 5 most recent grants.

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Prosecution Projections

3-4
Expected OA Rounds
74%
Grant Probability
99%
With Interview (+30.3%)
2y 4m
Median Time to Grant
Moderate
PTA Risk
Based on 1102 resolved cases by this examiner. Grant probability derived from career allow rate.

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